Two New Polls See Gallagher Remain As Favourite

Two new opinion polls show that independent candidate  Sean Gallagher retains a strong lead over Michael D Higgins as the Presidential election enters its final week.

Polls which appeared in today’s Sunday Business Post and Sunday Times newspapers both show Cavan native Gallagher holding a commanding lead, with Mr Higgins trailing in second place.

Mr Gallagher soared ahead in the polls last week and had become the subject of increased media scrutiny as a result. He also became the focus of some of the other candidates’ criticisms.

However this appears to have had little impact on his appeal to voters as his popularity continues to grow.

The Sunday Business Post / Red C poll has Mr Gallagher on 40%, up one point on last week’s figures.

Mr Higgins, meanwhile, polls second at 26%, down one point.

Martin McGuinness polls third with 13%, unchanged on last week, David Norris enjoys a three point rise to 10%, while Gay Mitchell is down two points to 6%.

Dana Rosemary Scallon polls second from bottom at 3%, up one point, while Mary Davis suffers a two point drop to 2%.

The poll was taken between Tuesday and Thursday of last week and asked the opinions of 1,000 voters.

The Sunday Times’ poll, carried out between Sunday and Tuesday by Behaviour and Attitudes, also shows Mr Gallagher with a strong lead over the field.

It places him on 38%, compared to 26% for Mr Higgins

Mr McGuinness again polls third with 17% while Mr Mitchell has the support of 8%. Mr Norris polls 6%, Ms Davis gets 3% while Ms Scallon records 2% support.

The Sunday Times poll also asked about the two referendums which are to be carried out on Thursday as well, and both look likely to be passed.

On the judicial pay referendum, 87% said they intended to vote yes; just 8% said they will vote no and 5% are undecided.

On strengthening Oireachtas investigations, 76% are in favour of the amendment, 18% opposed, while 6% are undecided.

Evening Herald Apologises to Norris for Misleading Article

The Evening Herald newspaper has printed a retraction of an article they published on 5 October – ‘With Norris on the ropes can anyone stop Higgins now?’.

In the article, the paper erroneously suggested that Independent presidential candidate David Norris claimed disability benefit from the social welfare system for 16 years after he stepped down as a lecturer in Trinity College Dublin.

The retraction notes how Senator Norris actually drew a disability benefit through a private contractual arrangement with the university and their insurers.

The newspaper apologised to Senator Norris for the mistake.

Bookie can`t see past Michael D

With less than a week to go before the general election one bookie has opted to pay punters who backed Michael D Higgins for the Aras.

Boyle Sports bookmakers have decided the Labour Party candidate is certain to become the ninth President of Ireland and paid out to the tune of €125,000, with a further €100,000 to come if they have misjudged the electorate.

A statement from the firm read:

“This is possibly the most volatile market we’ve seen in years with so many twists and turns. The majority of punters have stuck to their guns and backed Michael D. Higgins. We’ve paid out early before and are yet to get it wrong so let’s hope this prediction works in our favour once more!”

Mr Higgins has been backed heavily in recent days and his price has shortened to 2/7, meaning punters would have to bet seven euro to win two.

Sean Gallagher has drifted to 9/4 with Martin McGuinness next best at 25/1. The rest of the candidates fall firmly into the “also-rans” category with Gay Mitchell at 40/1, David Norris at 50/1, Mary Davis at 100/1 and Dana brings up the rear on with a whopping price of 300/1.

The former Eurovision winner is also overwhelming favourite to be eliminated after the first count with Paddy Power offering the almost unbackable odds of 1/8.

Michael D Higgins is favourite to win most first preference votes at 4/11 with election turn-out of 50% to 55% being favoured by the betting community as the most likely outcome.

Paddy Power is also offering odds of 200/1 on Vincent Browne becoming President in his life time.

‘Liveline’ Broadcasts Controversial Norris-Burke Interview

RTÉ Radio’s ‘Liveline’ programme has today broadcast a recording of the controversial 2002 interview between Independent presidential candidate David Norris and journalist Helen Lucy Burke.

Excerpts from the interview later appeared in an article in Magill magazine where Norris was quoted as saying there was “something to be said” for “classic paedophilia”. He also spoke of the confusion many people hold regarding the distinction between paedophilia and pederasty.

Senator Norris maintains the comments were taken out of context.

A spokesperson for Norris’s presidential campaign believes the tape is part of a “concerted effort by certain people” to damage his bid for the presidency. They stated that Norris was “not worried” about the broadcast, adding that “his track record speaks for itself”.

The programme can be listened to here.

Norris Sees Secularisation as a Way of Ensuring Equal Respect

Independent presidential candidate David Norris has reiterated his belief that the church and state should be two completely separate bodies. Senator Norris, a long-time member of the Church of Ireland, feels secularisation is the best way forward in order to ensure the rights of both non-believers and believers are respected equally.

He admitted that secularisation is now used as a somewhat divisive term but insisted that he wished to be a bastion for the rights of all people “regardless of race, religion, education, social background or orientation”.

He said, “I am religious but I don’t wear it on my sleeve. It gives me great comfort but I also understand religion has a place in society. Problems only arise when a religious pressure group claims to be more important than anyone else. The meek shall inherit the earth, not the people who decide they are better than everyone else.”

Senator Norris elucidated his views when speaking to TellUsWhy.ie. During the interview, he also claimed to be the only individual in the race for the Áras who has “used the Constitution to help protect a marginalised minority”.  He listed his involvement in the establishment of counselling services to help those in need and in setting up businesses to create employment as proof of this.

If elected, Mr Norris insisted he would “put the welfare of the people at the heart of the Presidency” – something he claimed those connected to established political parties simply could not achieve.

In a separate interview with The Irish Times, Mr Norris said he believed it would be a mistake if the Coalition took possession of the presidency as it would lead to an unhealthy “all-encompassing control of the seats of power in Ireland”.

Mr Norris praised how our previous two presidents “reinvented the role” while in office. He said changing circumstances may mean the role needs to be reinvented once more in order “to make sure that Ireland can hold its collective head high and that in our representation of the island around the world, people will continue to smile when they think of Ireland”.

Earlier today, Mr Norris dismissed the possibility of a transfer vote pact between himself and Labour’s presidential nominee Michael D Higgins, saying that it was up to the Irish people to vote in any manner they saw fit.

Higgins – Norris Transfer Pact on the Cards?

Labour presidential nominee Michael D Higgins has indicated he would not be against the possibility of a transfer pact with Independent candidate Senator David Norris in next week’s election. Mr Higgins stated that there have, as of yet, been no formal discussions on the matter but remains open to the idea.

The comments came after Mr Higgins earlier distanced himself from a statement issued in his name which criticised Senator Norris’s voting record on the 2008 banking guarantee.

The statement, which was released yesterday, said Mr Norris was “being somewhat economical with the truth when he has claimed on several occasions during the Presidential election campaign that he “voted against the bank guarantee”.”

Responding this morning, the Norris team said they viewed the statement as an attempt by Mr Higgins to deflect attention from his support for the Tax Amnesty Bill in 1993. They stated: “At 7.15pm on the evening of 1st October 2008 Senator David Norris voted against the amendment to the Order of Business to allow the Seanad to force through a guillotined Bank Guarantee Bill which was being forced through the Dáil and the Government then wished to force through the Seanad without an opportunity for appropriate debate.”

In a debate between the two candidates at NUI Maynooth today, Mr Higgins firmly withdrew the statement and described it as a rare example of something being released from his office without him first seeing it.

The former frontrunner in the opinion polls has now fallen into second place behind Independent Seán Gallagher. Senator Norris remains hovering in the mid-section of most recent surveys. He has so far not given his opinion on the potential transfer pact.

TG4 Overcomes Language Barrier To Host Debate

The seven candidates in the Presidential election took part in an hour-long bilingual debate on TG4 last night with the station managing to overcome the language barrier in order to host the event.

Seán Gallagher, Dana Rosemary Scallon, David Norris and Martin McGuiness said they would like to become fluent in the Irish language as they only had a brief knowledge of it. There has been much talk about this in recent weeks and at one stage the TG4  debate was thrown into doubt.

Most of the exchanges were in English as Michael D Higgins is the only candidate who is fluent in Irish.

A number of topics were discussed on the show, with candidates aiming to peg back front runner Sean Gallagher.

When Mr Gallagher said he supported changing the national anthem to make it less militaristic, McGuinness referred to him as a revisionist. Norris also criticised Gallagher stating he should have done more about unemployment when he was a member of the Fianna Fáil national executive; while Higgins said the entrepreneur stood for a “speculative economy”.

The national anthem, Amhrán na bhFiann, was widely discussed with each candidate been asked whether it was fit for its purpose. Labour candidate Higgins said if it was written today it would be different.He suggested there could be a consultation process about the anthem next spring.

The candidates also spoke about the future of the Irish language and possible celebrations for the centenary year of the 1916 rising. 

Dana Rosemary Scallon said she did not regret standing, while Mary Davis insisted she regarded herself as an Independent despite her links to previous government`s and outgoing president Mary McAleese, who herself was the Fianna Fàil candidate when she entered office in 1997.

Fine Gael Gay Mitchell stressed the need for political experience in the office.

The final televised debate of the campaign is on RTÉ’s The Frontline programme on Monday.

Norris Blasts ‘Betrayal’ of Irish Mortgage Holders

Independent presidential candidate David Norris has this morning spoken out against what he calls the “betrayal” of Irish people through the recent Keane Report on mortgage arrears.

Senator Norris noted how the panel who compiled the report consisted of representatives of the banks and not people from organisations such as New Beginnings, a homeowner’s advocacy group. He described this as a “horrifying example of the government putting the protection of the system… above the protection of the people.”

While making his statement outside Leinster House, Norris held a copy of the Keane Report emblazoned with the word ‘Betrayal’.

During his speech, Norris stated “A vote for me is a vote for democracy” and claimed to be the only genuine independent candidate in the election race as he has “never been part of a political party [or] been appointed to a state board”. He denied making such comments was a slur on other independent candidates such as Seán Gallagher, whose links with Fianna Fáil were a recent source of contention, and Mary Davis, who has sat on a number of state boards.

Despite fluctuations in his support, a recent Metro Poll gave him 39% of the vote while the latest Red C poll indicated he garnered just 7%, the senator is optimistic he will poll strongly on 27th October, insisting  “I intend to fight on behalf of all people of Ireland.”

Gallagher Well Clear In Latest Poll

Sean Gallagher has completed a remarkable turnaround and  is now the clear favourite to become the next President of Ireland, according to the latest opinion poll to be published in tomorrow’s newspapers.

The Red C poll, commissioned by the Sunday Business Post, shows that Gallagher now commands the support of some 39 per cent of the public’s electorate – up by some 18 per cent on the last Red C poll published just nine days ago.

Gallagher is now 12 percentage points ahead of his nearest challenger, Labour’s Michael D Higgins, who is on 27 per cent of support – up by 2 per cent from the last poll.

The pair are well clear of the chasing pack with third-placed Martin McGuinness losing three points to stand on 13 per cent – some 14 points behind the frontrunners.

Fine Gael`s Gay Mitchell lloks set to miss out on the presidency as his campaign continues to flounder, with his support falling by 2 per cent to 8, while David Norris’s campaign has effectively collapsed, halving from 14 per cent to 7 in the space of a week.

The two female candidates, Mary Davis and Dana Rosemary Scallon, are now the two least popular candidates – with Davis now counting on just 4 per cent of voters, down from 9, and Scallon trailing on 2 per cent, down from 5.

Polling was undertaken prior to Wednesday night’s RTÉ Prime Time debate and doesn’t account for any change in opinions that may have occurred since.

Sunday Business Post/Red C opinion poll:

  • Sean Gallagher – 39
  • Michael D Higgins – 27
  • Martin Mc Guinness – 13
  • Gay Mitchell – 8
  • David Norris – 7
  • Mary Davis – 4  
  • Dana Rosemary Scallon – 2

 

‘Don’t pigeon-hole me’ – Norris

Echoing comments he made on last night’s ‘Prime Time’ debate, Senator David Norris urged the public not to “pigeon-hole” him as he is much more than a one dimensional candidate.

While being interviewed on this morning’s Ray D’Arcy show on Today FM Mr Norris conceded that many people view him as nothing more than a tripartite character – gay rights activist, Georgian architecture enthusiast and Joycean literature scholar. Valid aspects of his personality though they may be, he reminded listeners of his human rights advocacy and senatorial track record.

During the interview, he vehemently denied being “soft” regarding the age of consent and insisted that the safeguarding of children was of the utmost importance to him.

Despite the many setbacks encountered during his campaign, Senator Norris is adamant that he can once again turn the tide and regain lost ground. He was positive when Mr D’Arcy asked if he could bounce back from his recent dip in the polls – many of which now rate him as the fourth most popular candidate. He mentioned the fact he topped a recent Metro poll with 39% of the vote but admitted that such a high showing was aided by his popularity in urban areas.

If elected, Norris pledged to dedicate the first 26 months of his Presidency to individual counties in order to highlight and celebrate their various achievements.